Daily notes and timed freewrites but mostly my blog |
All comments are encouraged, I am interested in what others think and feel along the topics I choose to write about. Highlighted entries: [#732826] "In Memory" |
My brother is an analytical thinker. Every so often, he will write down some of the thoughts that crowd his brain. This that follows is some research and analysis regarding the history of all the presidential elections since his birth. I'm sure not all of this is his own words, but what is presented here is so very much my brother. I will not correct spelling or grammar as I'm representing this as His work as presented last December. Byron Keith Long 12/10/24 12:29 pm I was born in the summer of 1961, less than ten months after one of the closest presidential elections in our country's history. Vice president Dick Nixon had gone up against Massachusetts senator Jack Kennedy and lost with a vote count difference of only 112,827. Kennedy had a significant lead in the electoral college and this is probably why there was no recount challenge put forward. Eight years later, in 1968, third party candidate, Alabama governor George Wallace had a profound effect on the outcome of that race where Nixon beat out vice president Hubert Humphrey by less then 500,000 votes. Just over thirty years later, vice president Al Gore won the popular vote but lost to Texas governor George W. Bush in a race that was settled with a 5-4 decision by the United States Supreme Court. In 2016 and 2020, Donald Trump lost the popular vote by receiving over nine million votes less then his competitors in each of those two races. In 2024 he cut his deficit to just over a quarter million votes. He won the electoral college in 2016 and 2024 but had vowed to not accept the results in 2016 if he happened to loose. In 2020 he lost the electoral vote and to this very day has never conceded to the actual winner Joe Biden. Now, when you tabulate all the votes cast for the two major party candidates, Democrat and Republican, for the past 27 elections between 1960 and 2024, you come up with a total of 1,706,044,331. That is 853,312,613 for Democrats and 852,731,718 for the Republicans. That is 50.017% to 49.983%, which shows that this nation is essentially split right down the middle. And when you devide the totals by 27, the average difference is well below that 1960 election at a mere 21,500 votes. The Electoral College has been kind to the Republican party. In the past nine election (32 years) that party has won four of the races and yet only won the popular vote twice, George W Bush in 2004 and Trump twenty years later. In a nation that wants to call itself a democracy, the concept of the electoral college has ceased to make any sense at all. |
The following is an excerpt from: The Best Chickens For Beginners (#3 Is The Easiest!) Story by Thomas Nelson for The Garden Magazine "Welsummer chickens are maybe my favorite type of chicken due to their distinctive speckled, mahogany-colored feathers and large, upright combs. They are stunning chickens and excellent foragers, which saves money on feed. This breed is known for its docile, friendly temperament. Welsummer chickens are also one of the best egg layers, with many chickens producing over 200 eggs per year! The eggs themselves are a deep, dark brown color and are known for their rich, creamy flavor. Welsummer chickens can also be used for meat production." The Welsummer chicken is "#3 and Is The Easiest!" according to Thomas Nelson. The following edited free write is my exercise in logic if I were to actually attempt to farm chickens. A Long view for urban chicken farming for a family of 4. Start small and grow flock over a 5-year period. Build a coop that can hold 12-15 chickens. Buy 3 chickens in the spring of the first year to learn the routine of caring for them and conditioning yourself for the expenses that may occur throughout the year. Have all but three of the 12-15 brooding boxes closed off so each hen may establish a personal place of her own for the privacy of brooding and roosting. If the breed truly averages 200 eggs per year per chicken, then the first year should produce 600 eggs on average. Comes to 2 eggs per day or almost 4 dozen per month. About 11 eggs per week. (Some days will see 3 eggs/day, and some will see 0 for the day. Learn what environment conditions make your hens happy, and production will be consistent.) The first year is more for supplementing your egg buying from the store. Keep a record of store prices/dozen purchased and that is the savings per dozen eggs your hens give you minus the cost of feed and housing for the same time period. The expenses of starting will show the home grown eggs as costing way more at the beginning due to the cost of starting up (cost of chicken coop+cost of buying and shipping three chickens+cost of feed+any veteranary costs+cost of environmental control inside chicken coop throughout the year). By the end of the year, however the cost should even out. If you have kept accurate records, and the hens have lived up to their egg laying average reputation, your yearly egg expense will be supplemented by 200 eggs (a little over 16 dozen) per chicken or 48 dozen eggs in a 52 week time period divided by the cost of chicken feed, time and expense spent building and maintaining the living environment through the summer and winter and other expenses relating to growing livestock in your yard. Welsummer chickens are good at foraging so this could help with some savings in feed cost during the warmer period of the year and they are proven to be cold hardy. (Could also benefit the garden and help vegetable production through chicken waste compost as well as insect pest control.) 2nd year-buy three more hens. The original expense of a chicken coop occurred in the 1st year, so the added expense will be in feed and care for 6 chickens rather than 3. The routine of feed, egg collection and care should already be an established routine so the added numbers shouldn't be too disruptive. Open three more brooding boxes so the new hens can establish their personal place in the coop. Year 2=1200 eggs=23 eggs every week (almost 2 dozen). You're very close to not having to buy eggs from the store. (Averages to more than 3 eggs/day) (1 egg per 3 of 4 family members/day) 3rd year=1800 eggs= 150 dozen eggs/year or 2 eggs short of 3 dozen eggs/week or 34 eggs/week= almost 5 eggs per day (someone in the family of 4 can have 2 eggs) If all has gone smoothly over the last 3 years, You should have 9 chickens ranging from 1 year+ (3-6 months) old to 2+ years when adding the next three young hens to your 4th year flock. 12 laying hens = 2400 eggs per year (give or take). That equals an average of 200 eggs per month or 2 eggs short of 4 dozen (46) eggs per week and 6.5 eggs per day or 13 eggs every 2 days. Obviously, by this time, your back yard chicken project has become a side hustle with implications of paying for all its overhead as well as supplementing your income, and you are no longer buying mass produced, commercially grown, store bought eggs. For food safety reasons and state and federal guidelines, annual livestock inspections and regulations just increased your overhead costs if you choose to make this a side hustle for selling your eggs to the general community. Otherwise, excess eggs can be gifted to family and friends at no cost to them. Note, it is wise to have annual livestock inspections by a reputable veterinarian and eggs tested periodically for bacterial contaminations even for your own personal and private consumption. 5th spring add 3 or more hens if you plan to make eggs a side hustle to supplement your income. Like all businesses, hiring a bookkeeper/ accountant to keep your income records accurate for taxes is advisable. If you wish to forgo said side hustle, and only wish to maintain a bit over self-production of eggs, then in the 5th spring, purchase three more young hens as normal, to maintain consistent egg production numbers (young hens lay more consistently than older hens) and process (kill and butcher) the older hens (first season hens) for the freezer to maintain 10 to 12 hens in the coop. I say 10 because there may be 1 or 2 other hens from other seasons that either don't produce or are socially problematic (aggressive toward the other hens) within the flock. Usually, egg production will drop off significantly for the 4- and 5-year-old birds. So culling is part of the farming process. Since this 5-year schedule has already established the purchasing habits of young first year hens, you have established yourself as a market for a grower or growers who will anticipate your order. Keeping your purchases local also establishes you as an important part of the local rural community. Maybe, sometime during the coming years something will happen where more than 3 hens need to be purchased (predator loss or disease or natural disaster), an established seller who knows you and wishes to keep your business will work with you more than say someone who has interest in only selling commercial quantity rather than urban farm quality and quantities. It is also in your best interest to stay with a grower who has consistently supplied you with viable and healthy hens. So, as a private grower to meet personal family group egg consumption demands and/or as a side hustle to supplement family income, the five-year plan allows an inexperienced urban chicken farmer and potentially naive farm business entrepreneur to learn the necessary skills to be successful without breaking their bank. |